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Wednesday, 27 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Amid the upcoming ban on Russian coal from the EU, which will be in full effect on August 10th, EU nations have been accelerating their coal imports as a direct reaction to the threat of a reduction in gas supply from Russia. The ban comes at a time when coal trade is already tight. As a result, thermal coal prices have been surging on the back of tight supply and geopolitical tensions.
Considering that the EU was importing approximately 35-40mn tonnes/year from Russia, these cargoes need to be supplied from elsewhere, namely US, Australia, South Africa, and Colombia. US accounts for the largest exporter of thermal coal to Europe at the moment, with exports surging to 11.2mn tonnes during 1H22, noting a 91.6% y-o-y increase. Amid intensified sanctions, US Government is exerting pressure on miners to increase production, therefore, trade flows from US to EU ports (mainly Netherlands and Germany) are expected to increase within 2H22.
High-quality Australian coal, on the other hand, is also benefiting from the surging demand in the EU. Imports from Australia surged to 10.2mn tonnes, marking a 27.8% y-o-y increase. For instance, thermal coal exports from Australia's Gladstone port in Queensland hit an 11-month high in June. Gladstone shipped 193,000 tonnes to the Netherlands, 76,400 tonnes to Poland, and 40,000 tonnes to Turkey. Trade flows from Australia, however, did not provide adequate relief as part of Australia’s production tied to long-term contracts.
Volumes from Colombia flowing to Europe recently are on an uptick. Although EU’s appetite for Colombian coal has declined during the past years, the country’s recovered production provided a steady flow of imports amid the current energy crunch, while more shipments are expected during the following months.
Lastly, South African coal has seen its exports recovering y-o-y amid the EU’s increased demand. However, the country’s issues with violence waves, logistics issues, and Covid-induced and weather-related disruptions in production have resulted in unpredictable trade flows. Given that the nation will be able to hold its export momentum, more shipments could be anticipated toward the EU during Q3.
In the meantime, new origins are emerging, like Tanzania, Kazakhstan, and Nigeria, which are being positively considered as a backup measure. EU buyers have started exploring them as a viable plan of action due to competitive prices and quality. Over the past 2 months, a few shipments have been imported to the EU from Tanzania and Kazakhstan at competitive prices compared to the US and South African coal. If imports increase, they will provide relief to thermal coal prices.
Thermal coal is now traded at the range of $400/mt compared to $130/mt the year before, marking a 300% y-o-y increase. With supply being already tight and demand rising from the EU, a supply/demand imbalance will continue to add pressure on thermal coal prices. Given the EU will manage to establish alternative coal resources, prices may soften in the medium term.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 14 July 22
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS HIT RECORD HIGH IN JUNE - REUTERS
India's coal imports hit a record high in June despite high global prices, data from three trade sources and Refinitiv ship tracking showed, as ...
Thursday, 14 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE COAL IMPORTS SLUMP AS TRADERS SHUN EXPENSIVE OVERSEAS CARGOES - REUTERS
China’s coal imports fell 33% in June from a year ago, with traders turning down expensive overseas cargoes in favor of domestic ones with ca ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
KOWEPO TO IMPORT 2.79 MILLION TONS OF LOW TO MEDIUM COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an International tender for Total 1360k MT of Min.4400 kcal/kg NCV coal and Total 1 ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
HAVE MINERS MISSED THE BOAT TO INVEST AND GET AHEAD OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Miners are in rude health, benefiting from economic stimuli, the post-pandemic recovery and associated supply constraints. Initially the Ukraine wa ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Taking the previous market insight a step further, market sentiment remains bullish regarding the overall ROI of scrubbers, facing tailwinds from a ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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