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Wednesday, 27 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Amid the upcoming ban on Russian coal from the EU, which will be in full effect on August 10th, EU nations have been accelerating their coal imports as a direct reaction to the threat of a reduction in gas supply from Russia. The ban comes at a time when coal trade is already tight. As a result, thermal coal prices have been surging on the back of tight supply and geopolitical tensions.
Considering that the EU was importing approximately 35-40mn tonnes/year from Russia, these cargoes need to be supplied from elsewhere, namely US, Australia, South Africa, and Colombia. US accounts for the largest exporter of thermal coal to Europe at the moment, with exports surging to 11.2mn tonnes during 1H22, noting a 91.6% y-o-y increase. Amid intensified sanctions, US Government is exerting pressure on miners to increase production, therefore, trade flows from US to EU ports (mainly Netherlands and Germany) are expected to increase within 2H22.
High-quality Australian coal, on the other hand, is also benefiting from the surging demand in the EU. Imports from Australia surged to 10.2mn tonnes, marking a 27.8% y-o-y increase. For instance, thermal coal exports from Australia's Gladstone port in Queensland hit an 11-month high in June. Gladstone shipped 193,000 tonnes to the Netherlands, 76,400 tonnes to Poland, and 40,000 tonnes to Turkey. Trade flows from Australia, however, did not provide adequate relief as part of Australia’s production tied to long-term contracts.
Volumes from Colombia flowing to Europe recently are on an uptick. Although EU’s appetite for Colombian coal has declined during the past years, the country’s recovered production provided a steady flow of imports amid the current energy crunch, while more shipments are expected during the following months.
Lastly, South African coal has seen its exports recovering y-o-y amid the EU’s increased demand. However, the country’s issues with violence waves, logistics issues, and Covid-induced and weather-related disruptions in production have resulted in unpredictable trade flows. Given that the nation will be able to hold its export momentum, more shipments could be anticipated toward the EU during Q3.
In the meantime, new origins are emerging, like Tanzania, Kazakhstan, and Nigeria, which are being positively considered as a backup measure. EU buyers have started exploring them as a viable plan of action due to competitive prices and quality. Over the past 2 months, a few shipments have been imported to the EU from Tanzania and Kazakhstan at competitive prices compared to the US and South African coal. If imports increase, they will provide relief to thermal coal prices.
Thermal coal is now traded at the range of $400/mt compared to $130/mt the year before, marking a 300% y-o-y increase. With supply being already tight and demand rising from the EU, a supply/demand imbalance will continue to add pressure on thermal coal prices. Given the EU will manage to establish alternative coal resources, prices may soften in the medium term.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 02 December 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TOWARD US$ 281.48 A TON AS DEMAND DROPS WORLDWIDE
COALspot.com: The cost of coal is falling so fast that it is beginning to put real money back in the pockets of end-users.
Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 30 November 22
INDONESIA’S BUMI RESOURCES TARGETS 2023 COAL OUTPUT OF 80 MLN TONNES - REUTERS
Indonesian coal miner PT Bumi Resources Tbk BUMI.JKis eyeing a 10% increase in output to 80 million tonnes next year amid expectations for more fav ...
Wednesday, 30 November 22
TANKERS: LONGER HAULS TO SUPPORT CONTINUED STRENGTH - BIMCO
Highlights
A rebound in the dirty tanker trade has led the Baltic Exchange Dirty Index (BDTI) to increase by 64% since our last report from mid ...
Wednesday, 30 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Shipping, although a conservative and innovation adverse industry, is currently in a transition period of digital transformation. According to a su ...
Tuesday, 29 November 22
INDIA TO RECEIVE FIRST LNG CARGO FROM INDONESIA’S TANGGUH LNG - REUTERS
India will receive its first cargo from Indonesia’s Tangguh liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant at the Dahej terminal on Monday, according to a ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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