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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 02 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Oil prices have rallied to the highest level since October 2014 breaking above $90/bbl recently. November 2014 was the point when OPEC unleashed pr ...
Monday, 31 January 22
HOW INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORT BAN COULD IMPACT INDIA - IEEFA
What does it mean for power generation and energy security?
Not long ago, India faced coal shortages due to a decline in domestic co ...
Sunday, 30 January 22
AIR PRODUCTS' COAL GASIFICATION PROPOSAL TRIGGERS LOOMING POLICY DISPUTES IN INDONESIA - IEEFA
Plan to substitute Indonesia’s LPG imports with dimethyl ether may be hard to realize due to conflicting business interests
In ...
Sunday, 30 January 22
ENDGAME FOR NEW COAL POWER PROJECTS? - IEEFA INDIA
Retired coal units must be replaced only by assets that can provide grid flexibility
Reportedly, an expert committee appointed by th ...
Thursday, 27 January 22
2022 - A YEAR OF REBALANCING FOR METALS AND MINING - WOOD MACKENZIE
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie, a ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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