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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 02 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Oil prices have rallied to the highest level since October 2014 breaking above $90/bbl recently. November 2014 was the point when OPEC unleashed pr ...
Monday, 31 January 22
HOW INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORT BAN COULD IMPACT INDIA - IEEFA
What does it mean for power generation and energy security?
Not long ago, India faced coal shortages due to a decline in domestic co ...
Sunday, 30 January 22
AIR PRODUCTS' COAL GASIFICATION PROPOSAL TRIGGERS LOOMING POLICY DISPUTES IN INDONESIA - IEEFA
Plan to substitute Indonesia’s LPG imports with dimethyl ether may be hard to realize due to conflicting business interests
In ...
Sunday, 30 January 22
ENDGAME FOR NEW COAL POWER PROJECTS? - IEEFA INDIA
Retired coal units must be replaced only by assets that can provide grid flexibility
Reportedly, an expert committee appointed by th ...
Thursday, 27 January 22
2022 - A YEAR OF REBALANCING FOR METALS AND MINING - WOOD MACKENZIE
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie, a ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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