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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 03 February 22
COAL SHORTAGE NOW AT ALARMING LEVELS, SAY ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS - IANS
With no relief in sight despite coal stocks running critically low and production disruptions looming across the Indian aluminium sector, the Alumi ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
HIGH COKING COAL PRICES PROVIDE GLIMPSE INTO STEELMAKING'S FUTURE - MCKINSEY
Last year was a volatile one in global commodity markets. Demand for coking coal, an essential raw material in the production of steel, was extreme ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
INDONESIA'S RESTRICTIONS ON COMMODITIES RATTLE MARKETS, MORE MOVES LIKELY - REUTERS
In just the first month of this year, Indonesian policymakers have rattled global markets with restrictions on some of its biggest commodities expo ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
CHINA'S TOP COAL PRODUCER FORECASTS 28 PCT PROFIT GROWTH IN 2021 - XINHUA
China Shenhua Energy Company Limited, one of the country’s biggest coal producers, said its net profits are expected to jump by 28 percent in ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
COAL STORAGE IN CHINA’S POWER PLANTS NEAR RECORD HIGHS - XINHUA
Coal inflows into China’s power plants have picked up, bringing their coal storage to near record highs, the National Development and Reform ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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