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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 03 February 22
COAL SHORTAGE NOW AT ALARMING LEVELS, SAY ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS - IANS
With no relief in sight despite coal stocks running critically low and production disruptions looming across the Indian aluminium sector, the Alumi ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
HIGH COKING COAL PRICES PROVIDE GLIMPSE INTO STEELMAKING'S FUTURE - MCKINSEY
Last year was a volatile one in global commodity markets. Demand for coking coal, an essential raw material in the production of steel, was extreme ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
INDONESIA'S RESTRICTIONS ON COMMODITIES RATTLE MARKETS, MORE MOVES LIKELY - REUTERS
In just the first month of this year, Indonesian policymakers have rattled global markets with restrictions on some of its biggest commodities expo ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
CHINA'S TOP COAL PRODUCER FORECASTS 28 PCT PROFIT GROWTH IN 2021 - XINHUA
China Shenhua Energy Company Limited, one of the country’s biggest coal producers, said its net profits are expected to jump by 28 percent in ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
COAL STORAGE IN CHINA’S POWER PLANTS NEAR RECORD HIGHS - XINHUA
Coal inflows into China’s power plants have picked up, bringing their coal storage to near record highs, the National Development and Reform ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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