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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 26 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While it is logical that most of the S&P reports of the first weeks of the year are linked to very limited activity as reflected in the weekly ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA: DME PROJECT IS ECONOMICALLY VIABLE AS STUDY DEMONSTRATES
The government is encouraging downstream coal processing or increase in coal added value, for example by turning coal into Dimethyl Ether (DME) to ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
COMMODITY PRICES COULD SOAR IF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS ESCALATES - ING
It appears that a number of commodity markets are starting to at least price in some geopolitical risk around the growing tension between Russia an ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA'S COAL BAN SENDS PRICES SOARING, OTHER EXPORTERS FAIL TO STEP UP - REUTERS
Indonesia’s short-lived ban on exporting coal has sent ructions through the seaborne market for the fuel in Asia, with the fallout likely to ...
Friday, 21 January 22
CHINA'S POWER TRADING TARIFFS TO RISE IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
Rising trading volume and higher-than-benchmark tariffs in the 2022 bilateral contracts signed between Chinese power generation companies (gencos) ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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