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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
Friday, 04 February 22
RENEWABLES ON THE RISE, COAL CONTINUOUSLY FALLING - EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Although oil (34.5%) and natural gas (23.7%) were still the most important fuel sources in the EU energy mix in 2020, renewable energy’s shar ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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