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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
Friday, 04 February 22
RENEWABLES ON THE RISE, COAL CONTINUOUSLY FALLING - EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Although oil (34.5%) and natural gas (23.7%) were still the most important fuel sources in the EU energy mix in 2020, renewable energy’s shar ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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