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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
Friday, 04 February 22
RENEWABLES ON THE RISE, COAL CONTINUOUSLY FALLING - EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Although oil (34.5%) and natural gas (23.7%) were still the most important fuel sources in the EU energy mix in 2020, renewable energy’s shar ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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