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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 20 January 22
CHINESE COAL JUMPS OVER 6% ON PRE-HOLIDAY SUPPLY WORRY - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures soared more than 6% on Wednesday, hitting a level last seen in late November as investors grew concerned over ti ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
VIETNAM: COAL SECTOR SEES POSITIVE PROSPECT IN 2022 - VNA
With many signs of rising demand for coal in various economic sectors in 2022, the Vietnam National Coal – Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomi ...
Wednesday, 19 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Since the beginning of the year, we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards with sizable drops across all segments. Latest similar levels ...
Sunday, 09 January 22
INDONESIA MINISTER SAYS 'EMERGENCY OVER' ON COAL SUPPLY CRUNCH - REUTERS
Indonesia’s power emergency which has triggered a coal export ban is over but the government will still continue to discuss policies in this ...
Wednesday, 05 January 22
CHINA COAL FUTURES SURGE ON SUPPLY WORRIES AMID INDONESIA EXPORT BAN - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures surged by as much as 7.8per cent to kick off 2022 on concerns of supply disruptions after Indonesia, its biggest ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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