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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 17 February 22
MAJOR INSTITUTIONS PROVIDED OVER $1.5 TRLN TO COAL SECTOR IN 2019-2021, SAYS NGO GROUP - REUTERS
Financial institutions channelled more than $1.5 trillion into the coal industry in loans and underwriting from January 2019 to November 2021, even ...
Thursday, 17 February 22
APAC THERMAL COAL PRICES TO EASE ON END OF INDONESIA EXPORT BAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings-Shanghai/Singapore-14 February 2022: APAC thermal coal prices are likely to come under pressure in the near term due to seasonally we ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
IS ANOTHER COAL SHORTAGE CRISIS LOOMING OVER INDIA? - BUSINESS STANDARD
In December last year, the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (FIMI) shot off a letter to the Prime Minister claiming that the coal crisis was ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
THERMAL COAL'S RECORD PRICE RUN MAY END UP ITS OWN WORST ENEMY - REUTERS
The price of benchmark Australian thermal coal rose last week to trade near record highs, providing a short-term boost to producers but increasing ...
Thursday, 10 February 22
INDONESIA: COAL EXPORT BAN - SKULD
Indonesia's coal export ban in the light of force majeure and off-hire clauses
In January 2022, Indonesia, the world's biggest exporte ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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