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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 17 February 22
MAJOR INSTITUTIONS PROVIDED OVER $1.5 TRLN TO COAL SECTOR IN 2019-2021, SAYS NGO GROUP - REUTERS
Financial institutions channelled more than $1.5 trillion into the coal industry in loans and underwriting from January 2019 to November 2021, even ...
Thursday, 17 February 22
APAC THERMAL COAL PRICES TO EASE ON END OF INDONESIA EXPORT BAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings-Shanghai/Singapore-14 February 2022: APAC thermal coal prices are likely to come under pressure in the near term due to seasonally we ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
IS ANOTHER COAL SHORTAGE CRISIS LOOMING OVER INDIA? - BUSINESS STANDARD
In December last year, the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (FIMI) shot off a letter to the Prime Minister claiming that the coal crisis was ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
THERMAL COAL'S RECORD PRICE RUN MAY END UP ITS OWN WORST ENEMY - REUTERS
The price of benchmark Australian thermal coal rose last week to trade near record highs, providing a short-term boost to producers but increasing ...
Thursday, 10 February 22
INDONESIA: COAL EXPORT BAN - SKULD
Indonesia's coal export ban in the light of force majeure and off-hire clauses
In January 2022, Indonesia, the world's biggest exporte ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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