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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 13 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Taking the previous market insight a step further, market sentiment remains bullish regarding the overall ROI of scrubbers, facing tailwinds from a ...
Friday, 08 July 22
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRICE BREAKS AGAIN LEVEL US$ 400/TON!, UP AROUND 4% - CNBC INDONESIA
Coal prices shot up again and crossed the level of US$ 400 per ton. On Thursday (7/7/2022) trading, the selling price of August contract closed at ...
Friday, 08 July 22
INDONESIA MULLS MORE FREQUENT SETTING OF CRUDE PALM OIL REFERENCE PRICE - REUTERS
Indonesia is considering setting its crude palm oil (CPO) export reference price every two weeks instead of monthly, a senior trade ministry offici ...
Friday, 08 July 22
BUNKER PRICES EXPECTED TO RECOVER LOST GROUND NEXT WEEK - SERGEY IVANOV, MABUX
Over the Week 27, the world bunker indices showed a sharp decline, primarily due to the fall in oil prices on July 05. The 380 HSFO index fell by 5 ...
Thursday, 07 July 22
NTPC MINES 61% MORE COAL AT 4.22 MN METRIC TONNES IN APRIL-JUNE: PTI
State-owned power giant NTPC on Tuesday said that its coal output grew by 61 per cent to Rs 42.40 lakh metric tonnes in April-June quarter from 26. ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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