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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
SEEING RED? - WOOD MACKENZIE
What a Republican mid-term victory could mean for US energy and climate policy
According to current polling the Republican Party has ...
Thursday, 14 July 22
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS HIT RECORD HIGH IN JUNE - REUTERS
India's coal imports hit a record high in June despite high global prices, data from three trade sources and Refinitiv ship tracking showed, as ...
Thursday, 14 July 22
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China’s coal imports fell 33% in June from a year ago, with traders turning down expensive overseas cargoes in favor of domestic ones with ca ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
KOWEPO TO IMPORT 2.79 MILLION TONS OF LOW TO MEDIUM COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an International tender for Total 1360k MT of Min.4400 kcal/kg NCV coal and Total 1 ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
HAVE MINERS MISSED THE BOAT TO INVEST AND GET AHEAD OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Miners are in rude health, benefiting from economic stimuli, the post-pandemic recovery and associated supply constraints. Initially the Ukraine wa ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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