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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Monday, 04 July 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SLIGHTLY DOWN IN JULY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for July delivery drops 1.52 per cent month on month.
The Indonesian Coal Price Refere ...
Sunday, 03 July 22
CHINESE VICE PREMIER STRESSES CLEAN, EFFICIENT USE OF COAL - XINHUA
Chinese Vice Premier Han Zheng has stressed efforts to promote the clean and efficient use of coal, and pursue green, low-carbon and high-quality d ...
Sunday, 03 July 22
SOVEREIGN SECTOR OUTLOOK REVISED TO NEUTRAL ON UKRAINE WAR IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
The deterioration in global sovereign credit conditions this year relative to our expectations at end-2021 has caused Fitch Ratings to change its g ...
Saturday, 02 July 22
GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL EXPORTS IN 2021 INCREASED BY 4.4% Y-O-Y TO 1147 MLN TONNES - BANCHERO COSTA
In the full 12 months of 2021, global seaborne coal exports increased by +4.4% y-o-y to 1147 mln tonnes, from 1099 mln tonnes in 2020, according to ...
Friday, 01 July 22
INDIA'S TOP CEMENT MAKER PAYING FOR RUSSIAN COAL IN CHINESE YUAN - REUTERS
India’s biggest cement producer, UltraTech Cement ULTC.NS, is importing a cargo of Russian coal and paying using Chinese yuan, according to a ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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