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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET FIRMS THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
Firmer sentiment across both basins pushed the Capesize 5TC route average above the $20,000 threshold this week, closing at $24,209. A ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
WHY SHIPPING MIGHT BE ABOUT TO GET A LITTLE BIT SLOWER - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
If shipping is the beating heart of global trade, its pulse is about to get slower.
Faced with uncertainty about which fuels to use in the long ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
GERMANY'S INCREASED COAL, OIL USE WILL BE TEMPORARY, SCHOLZ SAYS - CNBC
Chancellor Olaf Scholz says Germany’s decision to reactivate coal and oil-fired power plants to relieve energy shortages because of the war i ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
INDONESIA REMOVES PALM OIL EXPORT LEVY UNTIL AUG. 31 - REUTERS
Indonesia has scrapped its export levy for all palm oil products until Aug. 31 in a fresh attempt to boost exports and ease high inventories, finan ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE DAILY COAL OUTPUT JUMPS ON PEAK SUMMER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in June rose 6.6 per cent from a month earlier as miners cranked up output ahead of peak summer temperatures, when ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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