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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 07 July 22
COAL INDIA'S PRODUCTION SETS RECORD INCREASE OF 29% YOY AT 36 MT IN Q1FY23 - IIFL SECURITIES
Coal India Limited (CIL) has ended April-June quarter FY’23 capping a historic high of 29% yoy output growth, compared to same quarter FY&rsq ...
Wednesday, 06 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the 3rd Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, held in Hamburg on June 2022, there has been a meaningful resurgence of discussions within the ship ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
WHY ARE VLSFO PRICES SO HIGH, ESPECIALLY IN SINGAPORE? - STEVE CHRISTY, INTEGR8 FUELS
Tightness in products still trumps talks of recession
Last month we wrote about the fears of recession versus the tightness in product markets ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
ADANI ENTERPRISES LOWEST BIDDER IN COAL INDIA'S IMPORT TENDER: REPORT - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India Ltd floated its first import tender on behalf of power companies, where Adani Enterprises Ltd came out to be the lowest bidder, a report ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
CHINA POLICY KEY FOR IRON ORE OUTLOOK - ING
China’s covid lockdowns and recessionary risks hit iron ore
Iron ore prices have fallen significantly from their year-to-date high of US$ ...
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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