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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per da ...
Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, man ...
Friday, 22 July 22
YANCOAL AUSTRALIA CUTS 2022 COAL OUTPUT VIEW AS FLOODS, COVID BITE - REUTERS
Coal miner Yancoal Australia Ltd YAL.AX cut its 2022 output forecast on Wednesday, signalling a hit from higher-than-expected rainfall, COVID-19-le ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
BOOST FOR BIOFUELS AS IMO REMOVES REGULATORY HURDLE - GARD
MARPOL Annex VI regulations were written for petroleum derived fuels but also apply to biofuels. It has been a challenge to meet the regulatory req ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORTS TO THE EU INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY RECENTLY
European countries have increased coal imports from Indonesia due to the energy crisis that hit the region after Russia cuts gas exports to Europe. ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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