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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 26 July 22
CAP RUSSIA'S OIL PRICE NOW - PROJECT SYNDICATE
Though the price of oil has declined in recent weeks, it is still through the roof, filtering through to gasoline prices, and causing economic and ...
Tuesday, 26 July 22
WILL SOUTH AMERICA’S WINTER DEMAND DRAW LNG CARGOES AWAY FROM EUROPE? - ICIS
South America is now in the middle of its winter demand season. Last year the region increased its share of global LNG imports in winter, with Braz ...
Monday, 25 July 22
GLOBAL 2021 COAL-FIRED ELECTRICITY GENERATION SURGES TO RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
By contrast, mine output was still fractionally below the record set between 2012 and 2014 because older and less efficient coal generators have be ...
Saturday, 23 July 22
THE EU HAS BEEN REDUCING IMPORTS OF RUSSIAN REFINED OIL PRODUCTS SINCE MARCH - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union could now ban the import and transit of fuel oil from Russia around six months ahead of the planned deadline, an EU official and ...
Saturday, 23 July 22
INDONESIA CONSIDERING SCRAPPING DOMESTIC SALES RULE FOR PALM OIL EXPORTS - REUTERS
Indonesia is considering removing a domestic sales requirement for palm oil exports because high inventories of the vegetable oil have been holding ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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