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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 02 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 23.61 PERCENT MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,533,183 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 31 December 2012, Newc ...
Wednesday, 02 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET TO STAY ELEVATED IN START OF 2013 BUT THE NEW YEAR WILL NOT BE WITHOUT TURBULENCE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its regular update on the dry bulk market, BIMCO forecasted, that Capesize time-charter rates are expected to stay elevated in the following six ...
Monday, 31 December 12
KOSEP IS LOOKING FOR 280K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR APRIL - JUNE 2013
COALspot.com : South Korean state-owned utility Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOSEP), has issued an new tender for prompt supply of 280,00 ...
Monday, 31 December 12
VALE CELEBRATES ARRIVAL OF "VALE SOHAR" BULK CARRIER TO SULTANATE WITH MEMBERS OF COMMUNITY
'Vale Sohar', one of the largest bulk carriers in the world, was welcomed to Oman by members of the North Al Batinah community headed by H.E. Shei ...
Monday, 31 December 12
"DISTRESSED", "ECO" AND "FINANCE" ARE THE THREE WORDS WHICH CHARACTERIZED 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2012 was yet another year of speculation, anticipation, pessimism and more speculation in the shipping markets. According to the latest weekly repor ...
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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