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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 December 12
CONSTITUTIONAL COURT DECISION MAY FURTHER DELAY THE ISSUANCE OF NEW MINING BUSINESS LICENCES - TJEN SHE SIUNG
COALspot.com - In November 2012 the Constitutional Court of Indonesia issued a decision on amendments to certain provisions under the Mining Law No. ...
Monday, 24 December 12
BUNKER PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING, ALBEIT IN A SLOWER MODE, DURING THE NEXT FEW YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEW
In a recent report, US-based consulting firm Mcquilling Services attempted to forecast the course of bunker prices during the next few years, as thi ...
Sunday, 23 December 12
Q4' 2013 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP, US$ 3.40 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q1' 2013 PRICE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 1.94 percent M-M and WoW by 1.57percent but lost 0.35 ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
SECOND HAND VESSELS ENJOY HIGH DEMAND AS PRICES ARE ATTRACTIVE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the year is closing to its end, activity in the second hand vessel market has been more than high. Ship owners are looking to ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
FALL IN CAPE AND PANAMAX RATES DRAG BDI INDEX - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market further softened this week closing at 700 points (down by 10.71 pct). The cape index continued to fall and w ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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