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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 January 13
HOLIDAY ACTIVITY SCARCE IN THE MARKET OF SECOND HAND VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Although the market for second hand vessel purchasing was quite lull during the Holiday period, as is usually the case, the first days of the New Ye ...
Tuesday, 08 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 3.197 MILLION MT OF COAL W/E 7 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,197,580 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 7 January 2013, Newcas ...
Sunday, 06 January 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: 2014 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 6.80 HIGHER THAN Q1 '13 PRICE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.37 percent WoW and CFR South China coal sh ...
Sunday, 06 January 13
COAL BOOM: WAKE-UP CALL FOR INDIA & INDONESIA! - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - Coal Boom : Scenario, Now & later!
Coal has been the dominant fuel for power generating plants in developed countries since th ...
Sunday, 06 January 13
FREIGHT MARKET REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
WISH YOU ALL HAPPY NEW YEAR
COALspot.com - The freight market remained fairly steady in spite of Christmas / New Year Holidays. The BDI was almos ...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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