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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 29 December 12
SHIPBREAKING YARDS IN INDIA DEMOLISH A TOTAL OF 527 VESSELS IN 2012, BREAKING ALL PREVIOUS RECORDS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
India's ship demolition experts of Star Matrix contemplated this week on the issue of why ships in the range of 1,000 and up to 6,500 liquid tons ( ...
Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 199 ...
Thursday, 27 December 12
INDONESIA SHIPPED 33.578* MMT COAL IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter has shipped 33.578* million tons of coal in November 2012. thi ...
Wednesday, 26 December 12
UPDATE ON EXPORT BAN ON RAW MINERALS AND ORE - RITA SUSANTO
COALspot.com - In May 2012, the Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (“MoEMR”) in Regulation No.7 (“Reg-7”, amended by R ...
Wednesday, 26 December 12
SHIP OWNERS WRAP UP NEWBUILDING DEALS PRIOR TO YEAR END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the year inches closer and closer to its end, many ship owners are looking to close deals for newbuilding vessels they have been negotiating duri ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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