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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 05 January 13
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2012 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
Global Economy: Things will go up from here
The global economy continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace than previous years. The slower economic ...
Friday, 04 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION IN FIRST TRADING DAYS OF THE NEW YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is actively looking for its footing at the start of the New Year, as charters have been scarce, as is usually the case during th ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS CLOSED US$ 6.86 HIGHER FOR 2014 DELIVERY
COALspot.com - Swaps prices were changed positively for thermal coal for loading in the first quarter from Indonesia, according to SGX AsiaClear OTC ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
SUPRMAX FREIGHT RATE FROM RED SEA / INDIA IS AROUND MID TEENS - FEARNLEYS
Fearnleys in its weekly report said that, Indian market was very quiet in respect of export of iron ore. For Indo-India trip Supra rate was hovering ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mai ...
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parliament of New Zealand
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