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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 12 January 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEAK
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has lost 0.32 percent WoW but CFR South China coal ship ...
Saturday, 12 January 13
HIGHER COAL PRICES: SEASONAL EFFECT
COALspot.com : Bahana Securities, one of the leading securities in Indonesia, said in its latest coal outlook that, on US and China&rsquo ...
Friday, 11 January 13
HBA HAS JUMPED BY US$ 5.80 PMT IN JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal higher than December price. The monthly coal reference price f ...
Thursday, 10 January 13
PANAMAX : SOME GLIMMERS OF HOPE MID WEEK - FEARNLEYS
According to Fearnley’s weekly report, the Atlantic handy market is stable with rates around USD 11k for Cont-Feast and USD 17k bss USG/Feast. ...
Thursday, 10 January 13
DRY BULK PANAMAX MARKET HEAVILY OVERSUPPLIED, UNLIKELY TO FIND SUPPORT IN 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite positive indication for a significant surge of dry bulk demand this year, the oversupply problems of the market, will continue to weigh heav ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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