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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 15 January 13
2ND MYANMAR MINING SUMMIT & OFFICIAL HOST MINISTRY OF MINES TO WELCOME OVER 200 DELEGATES NEXT WEEK
Press Release: The Ministry of Mines is hosting the 2nd Myanmar Mining Summit in Yangon on 21-24 January to unravel the local mining climate, prospe ...
Monday, 14 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.32 PERCENT LESS COAL W/E 14 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,123,312 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 14 January 2013, Newca ...
Monday, 14 January 13
THE COAL MONGOLIA - 2013 OFFICIALLY IN COOPERATION WITH TOP MINING COMPANIES
Press Release: Mongolian first mining portal site Mining.mn has already started its preparation of the International Conference “COAL MONGOLIA ...
Monday, 14 January 13
NTPC INVITES BIDS FOR 500K MT OF IMPORTED COAL
COALspot.com - NTPC Limited (formerly National Thermal Power Corporation) is the largest Indian state-owned electric utilities company called for a ...
Sunday, 13 January 13
THE FREIGHT MARKET: FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was fairly steady with all the indices up with maximum gain in the Panamax segment. The BDI was up by 7.65 pct clo ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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