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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 13 December 13
DRY BULK SHIPPING TO WITNESS HEALTHY DEMAND MOVING FORWARD - ICS
The Institute of Chartered Shipbrokers Greek Branch organised its 9th Annual Forum at Eugenides Foundation, on Wednesday, 11th of December, with a r ...
Friday, 13 December 13
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 18.4 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL W/E 7 DECEMBER 2013
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.4 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 12 December 13
GREAT EXPECTATIONS SANCTIONED - EVA TZIMA
News that sanctions on Iranian oil exports could be lifted sometime in the following months have shaken the markets recently. One of the world&rsquo ...
Thursday, 12 December 13
DRY BULK MARKET RATES FOR CAPESIZES TO REMAIN VOLATILE SAYS BIMCO
The dry bulk market has reached multi year highs this week, as the BDI is standing at the 2,300-point mark. In its analysis of the market, BIMCO pre ...
Wednesday, 11 December 13
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT IS CONSIDERING SETTING A REGULATION ON THE MINIMUM PURITY TO REGULATE UNPROCESSED ORE BAN
COALspot.com: Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Jero Wacik recently proposed to house those mining (mineral) companies that had shown a commitme ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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