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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 09 December 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 14 DELIVERY CLOSED $ 0.57 LESSER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.49 pmt month on month on Friday 6 Decembe ...
Sunday, 08 December 13
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS SHOW A DECLINE TREND IN Q2 & Q3' 14
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 6.76 percept month on month as on Friday 6 December 2013. T ...
Sunday, 08 December 13
RBCT SHIPPED 63.446 MMT OF COALS YTD
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT), the world's single largest coal terminal has shipped 63,446,232 mt of coals YTD, according to por ...
Saturday, 07 December 13
SUPRAMAX SHIPS FOR EC INDIA TO CHINA ROUTE BEING FIXED AT AROUND US$ 13K - SOLYM
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be firm due to high Iron ore demand. The cape index was up by almost 25 pct this week. The grain seaso ...
Saturday, 07 December 13
A RARE TIME IN RECENT SHIPPING MARKET HISTORY: BOTH DRY BULK AND VLCC TANKER EARNINGS ARE ON THE RISE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Around this time of year, back in 2008, i.e. five years ago, the shipping markets were plagued with the aftermath of the global financial crisis tha ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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