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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 17 December 13
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS UP 37.83% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended December 16, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.45 ...
Monday, 16 December 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST $ 0.53 IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 0.91 pmt month on month on Friday 13 December 2013 ...
Monday, 16 December 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL Q3' 14 DELIVERY PRICE CLOSED $1.63 LESSER THAN Q1' 14 PRICE
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 5.34 percept month on month as on Friday 13 December 2013. ...
Sunday, 15 December 13
SUPRAMAX'S FREIGHT RALLY COMES TO AN END THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up by 7 pct closing at 2,330 points week on week and the cape index was also up by 10.51 points and closed at 4,246 points ...
Friday, 13 December 13
HARD COAL : VOLUMES POSSIBLY AT RECORD-BREAKING HIGH; PRICES POSSIBLY AT A RECORD-BREAKING LOW - VDKI
Press Release : World Hard Coal Market 2013: volumes possibly at record-breaking high, prices possibly at a record-breaking low. German and UK impor ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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