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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 20 December 13
US PRODUCED 2.71% MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 20 December 13
DRY BULK MARKET SLUMPS AHEAD OF HOLIDAY SEASON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As has been the case in recent years, the dry bulk market has been on a downward trend ahead of the Holiday Season for a large part of the world. Th ...
Thursday, 19 December 13
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE HITS THREE-YEAR HIGH - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry rose to their highest level for more than three years over the three-month period to November 201 ...
Wednesday, 18 December 13
SNP ACTIVITY IN CHINA SEEMS TO BE SLOWING DOWN - CHRISTOS TRAGEAS
Approaching the end of the year, SnP activity in China seems to be slowing down in comparison to the first half of this quarter, as most Chinese Shi ...
Wednesday, 18 December 13
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY SCALED BACK AS FREIGHT RATES RISE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It's always been the case that each time we witness a spike in freight rates, demolition activity is decreasing, as owners are looking for more car ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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