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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 December 13
BDI REACHED A PEAK OF YEAR RECORD OF 2,237 POINTS WHICH IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN MARKET CONDITIONS
Getting closer to the end of 2013, it is important that we have a review of the course the market has taken these past 12 months by looking at the B ...
Tuesday, 10 December 13
HNL, AN INDIAN STATE-OWNED NEWSPRINT PAPER MAKER SEEKS 50K TONS OF INDONESIAN 5600 COAL
COALspot.com: Hindustan Newsprint limited (HNL), an Indian state owned news print paper producer invited bids to supply 50,000MT of min 5,200kcal/kg ...
Tuesday, 10 December 13
COLOMBIAN THERMAL COAL EXPORTS SLIPPED 25.54% M-M IN OCTOBER'13
COALspot.com: Colombia's Thermal coal exports in October dropped 25.54% month on month to 5,990,815.13 million mt, according to data from mining de ...
Tuesday, 10 December 13
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS PLUNGE W-O-W
COALspot.com: In the week ended December 9, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 2.50 ...
Monday, 09 December 13
SOUTH AFRICA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL EXPORTS IN NOVEMBER DECLINED 14.43% M-M
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay coal terminal exported 6.224 million tonnes of coal in November, declining by 1.05 million tons from the ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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