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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 24 December 13
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS UP 11.46% W-W
COALspot.com: In the week ended December 23, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.84 ...
Tuesday, 24 December 13
SGX HAS LAUNCHED FREIGHT FUTURES
COALspot.com: Singapore Exchange (SGX) has announced the launch of freight future yesterday.
According to SGX’s press release, SGX has laun ...
Monday, 23 December 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR AVERAGE Q1' 14 CLOSED AT $ 82.80
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 2.97 percept month on month as on Friday 20 December 2013. ...
Sunday, 22 December 13
Q1' 14 DELIVERY COAL SWAPS CLOSING HIGH COMPARED TO Q4' 14 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.31 pmt month on month on Friday 20 December 2013 ...
Sunday, 22 December 13
QUIET FREIGHT MARKET DUE TO LONG HOLIDAYS
COALspot.com: The market was soft this week with all indices down. However towards second half of the week the futures on segments was firming up.
...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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