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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 09 January 14
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2013 AND LOOKING FORWARD GLOBAL ECONOMY: STEADY AS SHE GOES UPWARDS - BIMCO
Over the past year, developed economies have gained traction while developing and emerging economies have suffered from slower growth. Despite key e ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS LOOKING BRIGHTER DESPITE SLOW START TO THE NEW YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk market's benchmark, the BDI has been on a fall since the start of 2014, ending yesterday's session down to 1,87 ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FALL
COALspot.com: In the week ended January 6, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.27 m ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS LOST SOME OF ITS STEAM THESE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS: INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Softer- / Dry: Softer- )
The Dry Bulk market has lost some of its steam these past couple of days although hires, espe ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
SHIPPING: THE ABSOLUTE BOTTOM OF THE CYCLE WAS REACHED AND PASSED - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
COALspot.com: To many in the industry 2013 has been the turning point in the market where the absolute bottom of the cycle was reached and passed.
...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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