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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 05 January 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY CLOSED $ 80.05, A $ 0.90 LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost 1.40 percept day on day closed at US$ 80.95 per mt as o ...
Sunday, 05 January 14
CENTRAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION OF INDIA REGISTERS CASES IN CONNECTION WITH ALLEGED SUPPLY OF LOW QUALITY INDONESIAN COAL BY A PRIVATE COMPANY TO NTPC & NSPCL
COALspot.com: The Central Bureau of Investigation of India has registered two cases regarding alleged supply of low quality imported Indonesian coal ...
Saturday, 04 January 14
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT TO DOWNSIZE ITS COAL PRODUCTION TARGET TO 400 MMT THIS YEAR
COALspot.com: Indonesia to downsize its coal production target to 400 million tons in 2014, lower than the production in 2013, which stood at 421 mi ...
Friday, 03 January 14
IN 2013 RBCT HAS, FOR THE FIRST TIME, EXPORTED MORE THAN 70 MILLION TONS OF COAL
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay coal terminal, the world’s largest single coal exporting terminal shipped 6.788 million tonnes of c ...
Wednesday, 01 January 14
COAL & OIL TO SET UP ANOTHER 1,600 MW POWER PLANT IN INDIA - VENKATARAMANI
COALspot.com: Dubai-based Coal & Oil (C&O) Group is planning to make additional investment of around US$ 1.61 billion to set up 1,600 mega w ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
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