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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 12 January 14
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUE TO REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK - SOLYM CARRIERS
Wish You A very Happy New Year
COALspot.com: The market has dropped quite a lot as expected due to holidays and probably also the effect of ban o ...
Friday, 10 January 14
DECISION ON ORE EXPORT BAN WILL BE MADE TOMORROW: INDUSTRY MINISTER, JG SAYS
Industry Minister M.S. Hidayat dismissed reports on Thursday that the government had made a decision on the matter. “We will only make a decis ...
Friday, 10 January 14
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.8% ON WEEK IN WEEK ENDED SATURDAY 4 JANUARY
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 09 January 14
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT EASES ORE EXPORT BAN
COALspot.com: The Indonesian government has finally agreed to ease the ore-export ban just a few days before the Sunday deadline amid protests from ...
Thursday, 09 January 14
CAPESIZE: WEST AUSTRALIA FREIGHT IS NOW DOWN IN THE $8S AND STILL DROPPING - FEARNLEYS
Handy
In the Atlantic we see rates sliding slowly for the start of 2014. Several players cvrd over the holidays and the rate decline was som ...
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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