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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 07 January 14
INDONESIA RAISES COAL PRICE THIS MONTH
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia has increased government declared coal bench mark price by US$ 1.59 / MT ...
Tuesday, 07 January 14
NEWCASTLE COAL TERMINAL'S COAL EXPORTS SLIDE TO 3.54 MMT W/E 30 DECEMBER 13
COALspot.com: In the week ended December 30, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.54 ...
Tuesday, 07 January 14
US COAL OUTPUT SLIDES 9 PCT WEEK ON WEEK, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 17.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Monday, 06 January 14
ARGUS LAUNCHES SPOT CFR EAST COAST INDIA COAL ASSESSMENTS
COALspot.com: Global energy and commodity news and price reporting agency Argus has announced today that, the company has launched CFR coal assessme ...
Monday, 06 January 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS SLIDE TO $ 61.25 FOR Q4' 14 DELIVERY
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost $ 0.32 pmt month on month on Friday 3 January 2014. Th ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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