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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 January 14
INDONESIAN MINING LAW AVERTS BOP PRESSURE, RISKS REMAIN, FITCH SAYS
The last-minute intervention at the weekend by Indonesia's politicians to avert a significant disruption of mining activity and exports, should lim ...
Wednesday, 15 January 14
Q3 AND Q4 INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS DECLINE MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost $ 1.23 pmt month on month on Friday 10 January 2014. T ...
Wednesday, 15 January 14
PANAMAX: PACIFIC - REMAINED QUIET; ATLANTIC - CONTINUED THEIR RETREAT
COALspot.com: The holiday hangover seems well underway for the Dry Bulk market that saw more ground being lost this past week. The BDI has closed of ...
Tuesday, 14 January 14
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FALL 18.28 %
COALspot.com: In the week ended January 13, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 2.67 ...
Monday, 13 January 14
INDONESIAN ORE BAN TO HAVE LIMITED IMPACT ON CHINESE ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says today that Indonesia's ban on exports of unprocessed mineral ore will have limited impact on Chinese aluminium pro ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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