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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 26 January 14
FREIGHT RATES FALL FURTHER ON LACK OF CARGOES - SOLYM CARRIERS
COALspot.com: The freight market has continued to soften further this week with BDI down by 12.31 pct. BDI was closed at 1,246 points week ended 24 ...
Friday, 24 January 14
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 3.9% ON WEEK IN WEEK ENDED SATURDAY - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 24 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET STRUGGLING TO FIND FIRM FOOTING IN START OF 2014 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been faltering since the start of 2014, struggling to hold its ground as low seasonal demand has hindered further growth in ...
Thursday, 23 January 14
PANAMAX : THIS WEEK THE ACTIVITY CAME DOWN DRAMATICALLY - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
With the Chinese New Year approaching the activity and rate levels are sliding in both hemispheres. Rates in the Atlantic have knocked off so ...
Thursday, 23 January 14
30 DAYS LEFT TO REGISTER FOR PACIFIC BASIN COAL CONFERENCE
COALspot.com: (Press Release) : IHS Inc. (NYSE: IHS), the leading global source of information and analysis, will host the Pacific Basin Coal Confer ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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