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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 28 January 14
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS RETREAT TO OLD 'HABITS', REFUSING TO DEMOLISH OLD VESSELS, THREATENING MARKET RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
If one thing is clear as we reflect on the 2013 shipping markets, it's that ship owners took advantage of low prices, in order to acquire newer ton ...
Monday, 27 January 14
MERCATOR SINGAPORE REPORTS 52% INCREASE IN EBITDA FOR Q3 FY 2014 AS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS QUARTER
COALspot.com: Mercator Lines (Singapore) Limited, a leading Indian-owned international dry bulk shipping company that operates a fleet of fourteen d ...
Monday, 27 January 14
13TH CLEAN COAL FORUM 2014
COALspot.com: (Press Release) - Produced by CDMC Events, The 13th Clean Coal Forum 2014 will be held on June 12 &13 2014 in Beijing, China. We a ...
Monday, 27 January 14
Q3 & Q4 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CONTINUE TO REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1 14 delivery lost 4.45 percent month on month and closed at US$ 79.05 per mt as on Frid ...
Monday, 27 January 14
Q3 2014 SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST GROUND, ENDS AT $60 PMT
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost 2.29% pmt month on month on Friday 24 January 2014. Th ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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