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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 22 January 14
HANDY/SMAX: TALK OF RATES INDICATES A STEADY TO FIRMING TREND - INTERMODAL
Last week closed off on the red once more for the Dry Bulk market, which continues to see freight rates trying to get steady feet. Nonetheless, with ...
Wednesday, 22 January 14
EXPORT BAN ON UNPROCESSED MINERALS EFFECTIVE 12 JANUARY 2014 - THREE - YEAR REPRIEVE FOR SOME, BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS: PWC
COALspot.com: On 11 January 2014, only hours before a long-debated ban on the export of unprocessed minerals was to come into effect, the Government ...
Wednesday, 22 January 14
DRY SECTOR: SENTIMENT REMAINS STRONG - INTERMODAL
As we have now entered 2014 and the Chinese are soon entering their Year of the Horse (sit tight for the ride!), it is a great opportunity to see ho ...
Wednesday, 22 January 14
SGX SUCCESSFULLY LAUNCHED FREIGHT FUTURES
COALspot.com: Singapore exchanged announced that, SGX Freight Futures were successfully launched on 20 January 2014, and the first trade ...
Tuesday, 21 January 14
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED SLIGHTLY MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 20 January 14, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 2. ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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