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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 30 January 14
PANAMAX MARKET IS SOFTENING ON LESS ACTIVITY IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
In the Atlantic rates have been slowly sliding but ows can still achieve decent money for TArv´s. USG positions still being fixed in re ...
Thursday, 30 January 14
TANKER PROFITABILITY IS THE 'MILLION-DOLLAR' QUESTION FOR SHIP OWNERS THIS YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The tanker market conditions are expected to remain challenging throughout the year for tanker owners, but even more pressing will be the issue of a ...
Tuesday, 28 January 14
GLOBAL COKING AND STEAM COAL PRODUCTION HAVE GROWN 2% TO 3% TO ABOUT 7.1 BILLION TONNES AS OF THE END OF 2013 - VDKI
COALspot.com (Press Release): Initial figures on the world hard coal market at the VDKi ((Association of Coal Importers - German) New Year’s R ...
Tuesday, 28 January 14
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS JUMP 13.75% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 27 January 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled ...
Tuesday, 28 January 14
RESOURCE NATIONALISM OR PROTECTIONISM FOR THE MINING AND EXTRACTIVES INDUSTRY - JOHN WHITTAKER & MICHAEL SWANGARD
Resource nationalism or protectionism for the mining and extractives industry as well as soft commodities sector and the oil industry.
‘Res ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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