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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 20 January 14
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP SEEN LOWER IN 2ND HALF OF 2014
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost $ 0.78 pmt month on month on Friday 17 January 2014. T ...
Monday, 20 January 14
THE CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL MARKET APPEARS TO HAVE LOST DIRECTION
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost 4.25 percept month on month and closed at US$ 79.48 per mt as ...
Sunday, 19 January 14
FREIGHT MARKETS SEE CONTINUED WEAK PERFORMANCE
COALspot.com: The market has continued to soften particularly in the far East/SE Asia sector.
The BDI was down 6 pct week on week, the index was ...
Friday, 17 January 14
US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN WEEK ON WEEK: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.3 million short tons (mmst) of co ...
Friday, 17 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET ENDS DECLINE, BOUNCES BACK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It's been a rough start to the New Year for the dry bulk market, which was supposed to be on the verge of rallying to new heights this year, on the ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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