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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 03 February 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CONTRACTS FALL
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1 14 delivery lost 4.71 percent month on month and closed at US$ 78.87 per mt as on Frid ...
Monday, 03 February 14
COAL FREIGHT RATES REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The BDI is fell 50 pct over last one month which seems to be one of the lowest fall in last few years.
The BDI was down by 11 ...
Friday, 31 January 14
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 19.2 MMST W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 31 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL ON A FALL, EXPECTED TO WORSEN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is definitely in the doldrums since the start of the year, in what could only be described as a "lost" month for indus ...
Thursday, 30 January 14
JPU SETTLEMENT PRICE AS A BENCHMARK WILL DECLINE IN IMPORTANCE BUT REMAIN RELEVANT, SAYS WOOD MACKENZIE
JPU price will remain above spot, trending closer to spot till 2015 then increasing to 2035.
Japanese Power Utilities (JPU) are approaching a cru ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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