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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 05 May 14
SUB BIT-FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS LOST GROUND LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports ...
Monday, 05 May 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR AVERAGE Q3 14 DELIVERIES: LOST 0.82% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 0.82 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.20 per mt as o ...
Sunday, 04 May 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE SHOWING POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com: The freight market is seems to be some recovery as cape index has increased by 7.84 pct week on week. Cape index closed at 1829 po ...
Friday, 02 May 14
ADARO ENERGY STARTS YEAR 2014 WELL DESPITE CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy, the second largest Indonesian coal miner's revenue increased 14% to US$ 845 million due to higher sales volume, ...
Friday, 02 May 14
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION RELATIVELY FLAT AT -0.1%, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.0 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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