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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 02 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET SHOWING SIGNS OF COMEBACK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market which has been hovering below the 1,000-point market (BDI) during the past couple of weeks, could be exhibiting signs of a s ...
Thursday, 01 May 14
INDONESIA EXPORT BAN POINTS TO QUESTIONS OVER CHINA'S LONG-TERM BAUXITE SUPPLY - WOOD MACKENZIE
China’s Bauxite demand forecast to reach 240 million tonnes by 2030
In light of the Indonesian mineral ore ban that came into force o ...
Thursday, 01 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL REELING UNDER PRESSURE FROM VARIOUS FACTORS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's revival is still overdue, as the industry's benchmark, the BDI is still lagging below the 1,000-point mark. In fac ...
Wednesday, 30 April 14
FREIGHT MARKET FOR DRY BULKERS STILL REMAINS WEAK - INTERMODAL
One week after the Easter holiday and the celebration for the resurrection of Christ, everybody expected to see a similar sign of a revival in t ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q4 SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 1.07 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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