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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 12 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING TO FIND FIRM FOOTING
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be weak and the BDI closed slightly lower at 997 points or fell 1.96 pct week on week. The cape in ...
Friday, 09 May 14
RBCT SHIPPED 5.4 MMT OF COAL IN APRIL
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest coal export terminal in the world, shipped 5.45 million to ...
Friday, 09 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET: BANKRUPTCY TONNAGE UNLEASHED
Drewry’s latest Dry Bulk Forecaster saw freight rates on most routes declined in 2014’s first quarter as the previous quarter’ ...
Friday, 09 May 14
UNITED STATES COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY SLIDES TO 82.4 MMST IN APRIL
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 08 May 14
'TRIAL BY MEDIA, TRIAL BY LAW' - A REPORT FROM TRACK 1 OF BIMCO'S ANNUAL CONFERENCE DUBAI 2014
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Aiming to bring a very different type of event into their annual conference, BIMCO presented ‘Double Jeopardy &n ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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