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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 08 May 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IN MAY CRASHES THROUGH $74
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia has revised down again the coal bench mark price by US$ 1.21 / MT to ...
Wednesday, 07 May 14
THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS NOTED ANOTHER WEEKLY POSITIVE GAIN
Chartering (Wet: Softer- / Dry: Stable+)
The Dry Bulk market has noted another weekly positive gain, driven by the Capesize segment, but we ne ...
Wednesday, 07 May 14
SGX ENHANCES ITS COMMODITIES PRODUCT OFFERING
COALspot.com: SGX is building up its bulk commodity product offerings with 9 more derivative contracts over the next 2 months, subject to regula ...
Tuesday, 06 May 14
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORT SLIPS 7.92% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 5 May 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland ...
Monday, 05 May 14
HUANENG CLEAN ENERGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE HAS CONFIRMED TO SPEAK AT CCF2014
Press Release: Produced by CDMC Events, The 13th Clean Coal Forum 2014 will be held on June 12,13, 2014 in Beijing, China. We are glad to invite ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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