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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 29 April 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 3.03 MILLION TONS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 28 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q2 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST 0.29% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 0.29 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.43 per mt as o ...
Monday, 28 April 14
CHINA LIKELY TO FALL SHORT OF NUCLEAR POWER TARGETS AT 175GW OF CAPACITY BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Coal will remain dominant supply at 64% of power mix
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that China will not meet its environmentally-driven, government ...
Sunday, 27 April 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market seems to have bottomed out and saw some marginal gains in all segments, said Capt. Reddy of Vistaar Shipping In ...
Friday, 25 April 14
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 19 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.0 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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