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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 May 14
COAL PRICES IN CHINA HAVE DROPPED TO THEIR LOWEST LEVELS SINCE END-2008
COALspot.com: Coal prices in China have dropped to their lowest levels since end-2008, Fitch says in its latest rating report on one of the coal ...
Wednesday, 14 May 14
ALMOST THROUGH THE HALF OF THE YEAR, THE DRY BULK INDEX SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKNESS; CREATING TO BOTH EXISTING SHIP OWNERS AND POTENTIAL INVESTORS A LOT OF INSECURITY - PANOS MAKRINOS
Almost through the half of the year, the overall shipping market and more specifically the Dry Bulk Index show signs of weakness, creating to bo ...
Tuesday, 13 May 14
NPC COAL EXPORT VOLUMES PLUNGE TO 2.48 MMT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 12 May 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Quee ...
Tuesday, 13 May 14
YET ANOTHER POSIDONIA EXHIBITION IS ON ITS WAY - INTERMODAL
With less than a month to go before another Posidonia exhibition starts and all the parties and celebrations get under way we thought that it wo ...
Monday, 12 May 14
TAIPOWER TO IMPORT AROUND 1 MMT OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL DURING AUGUST 2014 THROUGH NOVEMBER 2014
COALspot.com - Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 1.050 million tons of sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal power plant through open t ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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