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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 October 14
ASIAN THERMAL COAL PRICES TO REMAIN WEAK ON OVERSUPPLY - FITCH
COALspot.com: The thermal coal market in Asia will remain oversupplied in the next 12 months, in spite of on-going rationalisation of production, a ...
Wednesday, 01 October 14
PANAMAXES: DEFENSIVE, STRUGGLING TO KEEP ANY FURTHER DECREASES - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market seemed unable to shake off the trend of the week prior and the BDI remained on a downward slope for the bigger pa ...
Wednesday, 01 October 14
FITCH: GLOBAL ECONOMY FACES MULTI-SPEED RECOVERY, MULTIPLE RISKS
Fitch Ratings says in its latest Global Economic Outlook (GEO) that global growth will pick up in 2015 and 2016, but risks are weighted to the down ...
Tuesday, 30 September 14
COALVIEW TO PARTICIPATE AT MET COKE WORLD SUMMIT 2014 IN CHICAGO
COALspot.com: Coalview Ltd., LLC(“Coalview”) America's leading fully integrated coal technology and fine coal recovery company prov ...
Monday, 29 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME FALL IN AUGUST
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producers and the global leading multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.50 ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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