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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 27 September 14
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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