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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
TAIPOWER TO IMPORT 525K MT OF LOW ASH AND EXTRA LOW SULFUR SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 525,000 metric tons of low ash and extra low sulfur sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWS A FLAT TO WEAK TREND THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps November 2014 delivery flat week on week and gained US$ 0.10 (-0.20%) per mt day on day. The swap also lost US$ ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
THE RIO TINTO CONFIRMS THAT NO DISCUSSIONS ARE TAKING PLACE WITH GLENCORE
COALspot.com: The board of Rio Tinto notes the recent press speculation regarding a possible combination of Rio Tinto and Glencore.The Rio Tinto bo ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP HEADED SOUTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in November 2014 decreased US$ 1.10 (-1.64%) month over month and US$ 0.25 (-0.38%) ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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