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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 29 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS LOST WEEK ON WEEK AND MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average November 2014 flat day on day and lost US$ 0.85 (-1.66%) per mt week on week. The swap also lost US ...
Monday, 29 September 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL LOST AROUND 5% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in November 2014 decreased US$ 3.55 (-5.10%) month over month and flat week over week.
...
Sunday, 28 September 14
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE FIRM NEXT WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market shows a bit weak trend this week.
The BDI was lost 2.42% week on week and closed at 1049 points on 26 Se ...
Sunday, 28 September 14
BERAU AGREES DEAL WITH GOVT, MINING AREA REDUCED - THE JAKARTA POST
Coal miner PT Berau Coal, a subsidiary of Jakarta-listed PT Berau Coal Energy (BRAU), has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the gover ...
Saturday, 27 September 14
OIL MARKET CONTANGO: SPECULATION ON FUTURE PRICES CAN BE A RISKY MOVE, EVEN FOR TANKER OWNERS HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that tanker owners can easily use their vessels as floating storage units for oil, in a bid to exploit the current oil market dyna ...
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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