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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 06 October 14
' COAL-BY-WIRE' FROM SUMATRA TO JAVA - THE JAKARTA POST
Coal from the island of Sumatra accounts for most of Indonesia’s low-grade lignite, a low-quality coal that receives a poor price in internat ...
Monday, 06 October 14
THE IRON ORE SHIPPING BUSINESS IS FACING SOME ROUGH SEAS - EAST ASIA FORUM
The impact of Chinese demand on global iron ore prices is well known. A less acknowledged consequence of China’s emergence is the transformat ...
Sunday, 05 October 14
BALTIC DRY INDEX SLIPS 1.14%; BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX GAINED 9.91% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down by 1.14 pct and closed at 1037 points this Friday.
The Cape index was down significantly week on week or lost 5 ...
Friday, 03 October 14
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.8% TO 19.9 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of co ...
Thursday, 02 October 14
CAPESIZE - DULL AND WITHOUT MUCH DIRECTION AS IRON ORE AND COAL VOLUMES FAIL TO LIVE UP EXPECTATIONS
Handy
After the recent weeks´ rate increase in the Atlantic we see Panamaxes snapping up handymax and Supra cargoes at much lower levels, p ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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